Demonstration of process-based reconstruction of annual temperatures from tree ring oxygen isotope

Trina Bose; Supriyo Chakraborty

doi:10.54991/jop.2023.1849

Authors

Trina Bose Birbal Sahni Institute of Palaeosciences, 53, University Road, Lucknow 226007, India
Supriyo Chakraborty Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Dr. Homi Bhabha Road, Pashan, Pune-411008, India

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54991/jop.2023.1849

Keywords:

Tree ring, Oxygen isotope, Reconstruction, Temperature

Abstract

Forecasting the global warming of the post-industrial period requires knowledge of natural variations in climatic parameters, especially temperature in preceding times. Due to its stable time resolution and known physiochemical formation process, tree ring cellulose isotope datasets have immense potential to yield climatic variability information. The first standardized site-independent temperature reconstruction model from tree-ring cellulose oxygen isotope data is demonstrated here using data from a montane site in the western Himalayas. This model does not require any statistical calibration and can be directly compared with instrumental or modelled data. The resulting temperature amplitude is dependent on moisture availability and this input is needed to modulate the reconstruction. The present work tests the possibility of input of carbon isotope discrimination as a proxy of relative humidity. This input achieved amplitude control but additional frequency components were introduced to the reconstruction.

सारांश

औद्योगिकीकरण के पूर्व भूमंडलीय ऊष्मीकरण (ग्लोबल वार्मिंग) के पूर्वानुमान हेतु जलवायवीय मापदंडों में प्राकृतिक बदलावों संबंधी, विशेष रूप से पूर्ववर्ती कालों में तापमान से जुड़ी जानकारी आवश्यक है। अपने स्थिर विभेदन काल तथा विदित भौतिक-रसायनिक विन्यास प्रक्रिया के कारण वृक्ष-वलय सेलूलोज़ समस्थानिक डेटासेट जलवायु परिवर्तनीयता संबंधी जानकारी प्रदान करने की असीम क्षमता रखते हैं। पश्चिमी हिमालय में स्थित एक पर्वतीय-स्थल से प्राप्त वृक्ष-वलय सेलूलोज़ ऑक्सीजन समस्थानिक आंकड़ों का उपयोग करके पहला मानकीकृत स्थलीय रूप से निष्पक्ष तापमान पुनर्रचना मॉडल प्रदर्शित किया गया है। इस मॉडल को किसी प्रकार की सांख्यिकीय अंशशोधन की आवश्यकता नहीं है तथा इसकी तुलना आलेखित या प्रतिरूपित आंकड़े से स्पष्टतया से की जा सकती है। परिणामी तापमान का आयाम आर्द्रता की उपलब्धता पर निर्भर है तथा पुनर्रचना नियमन करने हेतु इस निविष्ट की आवश्यकता है। वर्तमान कार्य, सापेक्षिक आर्द्रता की प्रतिपत्री के रूप में कार्बन समस्थानिक विभेदन-क्षमता को निविष्ट की संभाव्यता प्रमाणित करता है। इस निविष्ट ने प्रचुर विनियमन प्राप्त किया, परंतु पुनर्रचना हेतु अतिरिक्त आवृत्ति घटकों को प्रस्तुत किए।

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